GEoint 2008



GEO EYEon

 
  By Slobodan P. Simonovic, professor and research chair, Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction, University of
Western Ontario (
http://www.iclr.org).

Pressure on Earth’s resources from a population currently at 6 billion and projected to reach roughly 9 billion by 2050 has left humans and their infrastructure increasingly vulnerable to natural hazards. The resulting dynamic equilibrium between these forces offers a major role for scientific and technological development. Remote sensing and related geospatial technologies are among the many tools available to disaster management professionals for accurate and effective planning, disaster management and post-disaster recovery.


The space technology and disaster mitigation communities work together to develop efficient methods for disaster prevention, preparedness and relief. Prevention is a long-term phenomenon, which can best be studied with the help of satellites to monitor relevant factors such as changing land use. Preparedness focuses on warnings and forecasts of impending disasters, whether they’re “rapid onset” disasters—the most frequent type—or those that develop slowly, such as drought and famine. Relief occurs after (and sometimes during) an emergency. Important aspects of satellite monitoring involve assessing the damage incurred during a disaster, as well as helping to identify escape routes and locations for temporary shelter.

Sensors and Applications
Although existing satellites weren’t designed solely to observe natural hazards, the variety of spectral bands in today’s visible near infrared (VNIR), shortwave infrared (SWIR), mid-infrared (MIR), thermal infrared (TIR) and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) sensors provides adequate spectral coverage and allows computer enhancement of the data for this purpose. Repetitive or multitemporal coverage allows scientists to study various dynamic phenomena whose changes can be identified over time, including natural hazard events, changing land use patterns, and hydrologic and geologic characteristics.


In disaster management, the aim is to monitor the situation, simulate the complex natural phenomenon as accurately as possible to come up with better hazard predictions, suggest appropriate contingency plans and prepare spatial databases. Remotely sensed data’s inherent characteristics—spatial continuity, uniform accuracy and precision, multitemporal coverage and complete coverage regardless of site location—make satellite imagery invaluable for a wide range of disaster management applications, including:


• Assessing the severity and impact of
damage due to flooding, earthquakes, oil spills and other disasters.
• Planning efficient escape routes from coastal areas during hurricane season.
• Charting quickest routes for ambulances and other assistance to reach victims.
• Locating places for shelter for victims or refugees.
• Calculating population density in disaster-prone areas.
• Identifying hardest-hit disaster areas to provide early warning of potential disasters.
• Performing pre-disaster assessments to facilitate planning for timely evacuation and recovery operations during a crisis.
• Monitoring reconstruction or rehabilitation after a major disaster.
• Developing, maintaining or updating accurate base maps.


Different sensors can provide unique information about Earth’s surface properties. For example, measurements of reflected solar radiation give information on albedo—the fraction of light reflected by a body or surface, thermal sensors measure surface temperature, and microwave sensors measure the planet’s dielectric properties—hence the moisture content of surface soil or snow. The table below reviews the existing land-imaging satellites in orbit. Sensors and their capabilities with reference to disaster mitigation are discussed in the following sections: Earthquakes, Volcanic Eruptions, Tsunamis, Landslides, Hurricanes, Forest Fires and Floods.
 

 
 

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) scientists have operated seismographic stations throughout the world for more than 35 years. For the last few years, in cooperation with the Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology (IRIS), a consortium of more than 90 universities, USGS has upgraded the system into a state-of-the-art Global Seismographic Network (GSN). The GSN is designed to obtain high-quality digital data that can be readily accessed by users worldwide. For some stations, the data are reported to orbiting satellites, and then to the Internet where information can be viewed via the Web.


Generally, satellite imagery can be used to help identify faults associated with earthquakes. As a result, land use and geological maps can give vital pointers toward potential earthquake zones. Satellite sensors that are active in the visible and near infrared spectral band are useful for such studies. Although many satellite systems collect the required data, Landsat imagery is the most popular for this application because of the comprehensive historical Landsat data archives and the imagery’s cost effectiveness.


Conventionally, aerial remote sensing (airborne radar) would be considered an effective way to delineate unconsolidated deposits sitting on fault zones upon which most of the destruction occurs, as well as to identify areas where an earthquake can trigger landslides. Now such work is being complemented with one-meter-resolution satellite imagery available from commercial companies such as DigitalGlobe, ORBIMAGE and Space Imaging. For example, as shown in the images below, DigitalGlobe’s QuickBird satellite revealed widespread damage to the historic city of Bam, Iran, following a powerful earthquake on Dec. 26, 2003. The earthquake killed more than 50,000 people and destroyed or severely damaged 90 percent of the city’s buildings, including a 2,000-year-old citadel built primarily of mud brick. High-resolution satellite imagery can detect the altered rooflines of buildings that have fully collapsed, thereby assisting authorities with immediate mitigation activities such as search-and-rescue efforts, emergency relief and major infrastructure damage assessment.
 

 
 

There are more than 500 active volcanoes around the globe, and about 100 of them erupt every year. Volcano monitoring is important simply because an unexpected awakening can imperil thousands of lives across a wide area. Remote sensing techniques can play an important role by providing vital information with limited fieldwork, thereby saving effort and money. TIR imagery can capture volcanic heat if the spatial resolution is high enough. Also, moderate-resolution panchromatic stereo-pair imagery, due to its 3-D capabilities, helps users find evidence of hazardous activities. An IR pattern of geothermal heat in the vicinity of a volcano indicates thermal activity, which many inactive volcanoes display. Many volcanoes thought to be extinct may have to be reclassified if regular monitoring activities reveal any abnormally high IR emissions from either the summit craters or the flanks. Changes in thermal patterns can be obtained for a volcano only through periodic high-resolution IR imagery, like that of QuickBird. However, temperature and gas emission changes can be monitored with a geostationary satellite at ideal locations identified on the thermal imagery.


The TIR bands of the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) sensor—the primary sensor on National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) polar-orbiting satellites—can detect volcanic ash, as it has a strong signal difference between channel 4 and channel 5. However, AVHRR’s spatial resolution may not be adequate to detect the dynamic change in volcanic geothermal activity in some situations.


Landsat, SPOT-4 and IRS 1D imagery are valuable for detecting volcanic activity, because their SWIR band is particularly well suited for locating fire hot spots, lava flows and intense volcanic activity. Once alerted by early warning systems, specialists need to monitor levels of volcanic activity continuously so timely precautions can be taken. Imaging sensors can detect hot spots, because they measure the energy emitted from surfaces at temperatures of 220-520 degrees Celsius. Though vulcanologists rely widely on Landsat imagery to obtain this kind of information, SPOT’s resolution and radiometric sensitivity can detect a wider range of temperatures, and its frequent revisit capability enables operational monitoring of a region of interest.


Additionally, research has shown that water surface temperature and area can be measured simultaneously by using all seven spectral bands of Landsat’s Thematic Mapper (TM) sensor. Crater lakes on active volcanoes act as heat and chemical traps, and are amenable to space surveillance as shown by case studies on several volcanoes: Ruapehu (New Zealand), Taal (Philippines), Kawah Ijen and Kelut (Indonesia), Poas (Costa Rica), and Apoyeque and Jiloa (Nicaragua). Also, TM-derived water surface spectral reflectance indicates high concentrations of suspended chemical sediment in the most active crater lakes. Other sensors that have been used to successfully monitor crater lakes include the Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflectance Radiometer (ASTER) sensor aboard NASA’s Terra satellite, as well as the Enhanced Thematic Mapper (ETM) on board Landsat 7.
 

 
 

Tsunamis are water waves, or seismic sea waves, caused by large-scale sudden movements of the sea floor due to earthquakes, landslides, volcanic eruptions or man-made explosions. Increasing development along most coastlines poses a corresponding increase in tsunami disaster risk. Tsunamis differ from other earthquake hazards in that they can cause serious damage thousands of kilometers from the causative faults. Once they are generated, they are nearly imperceptible in mid-ocean, where their surface height is less than a meter. They travel at incredible speeds, as much as 900 kilometers/hour, and the distance between wave crests can be as much as 500 kilometers. As the waves approach shallow water, a tsunami’s speed decreases and the energy is transformed into wave height, sometimes reaching as high as 25 meters, but the interval of time between successive waves remains unchanged—usually between 20 and 40 minutes. When tsunamis near a coastline, the sea recedes—often to levels much lower than low tide—and then rises as a giant wave.


The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center provides warnings for Pacific basin teletsunamis (tsunamis that can cause damage far away from their source) to almost every country around the Pacific rim and to most of the Pacific island states. As detailed in Earth Imaging Journal’s March/April issue (see “Help from Above—Tsunami Imagery Aids Relief Efforts,” www.eijournal.com/tsunami.asp), satellite or aerial photography—especially when combined with a good geographic information system (GIS) database of an area—can provide critical information for emergency managers, including damage to structures, transportation and communication links, and other “life-line” infrastructure components.
 

 
  Hurricanes and typhoons are the most costly weather-related events, for which the U.S. Federal Emergency Management Agency obligated more than $7.78 billion for the 1990-1999 period. A total of 88 declarations were issued for these storms, including a single-year record of 19 in 1999.


These large-scale low-pressure systems occur throughout the world over zones referred to as “tropical cyclone basins” (www.oas.org/usde). The determination of past hurricane paths for a region can be derived from remotely sensed data from NOAA meteorological satellite sensors. The Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch of the Tropical Prediction Center (TPC) provides year-round products involving marine forecasts, aviation forecasts and warnings, and surface analyses. The center also provides satellite interpretation and satellite rainfall estimates for the international community. The Technical Support Branch provides support for satellite data processing.

One of the key lessons NASA learned during Hurricane Andrew was that it is critical to select appropriate data and put it together to make informed decisions. Due to the lengthy process required to gather the data, it was suggested that communities not wait until a disaster happens to do so. Imagery is an important aspect of a community’s database. For plotting new data, AVHRR is the best sensor with its 2,940 kilometer swath, twice-a-day coverage and appropriate resolution. The red band is useful for defining daytime clouds and vegetation, while the TIR band is useful for daytime and nighttime cloud observations.

 
 

 

 
  Satellite imagery is invaluable for mapping burned areas. For example, the U.S. Forest Service provides application development to improve quality and predictability of geospatial information produced with remote sensing in forest inventory, change detection and monitoring applications. Knowledge about burned areas can help scientists better understand the structure and dynamics of the vegetated landscape. Furthermore, there is global interest in monitoring fire regimes. Despite technical problems due to its age, Landsat’s Multispectral Scanner (MSS) sensor is particularly useful for fire mapping.


In addition, high-resolution satellite imagery and accurate remote sensing techniques provide a quantifiable data link for defensible forest fire mitigation planning and action, as well as the tactical wildfire planning needs of wildland/urban interface communities. Remote sensing analysis classifies raw high-resolution imagery data into thematic data to identify the species, age and density of trees and various types of groundcover; then managers can use a GIS to analyze and model the data and develop treatment strategies.
 

 
  According to FEMA, floods are the second most common and widespread of all natural disasters. Within the United States an average of more than 225 people are killed and more than $3.5 billion in property is damaged by heavy rain and flooding each year (http://www.fema.gov/library). Scientists and researchers have been investing valuable hours and funds to find more accurate and faster ways to predict and estimate flood depth and extent. Satellite imagery can help in several ways:
• Providing detailed imagery for hazard assessment maps and various types of hydrological models.
• Developing a larger scale view of the general flood situation within a river catchment or coastal belt with the aim of identifying areas at greatest risk and in the need of immediate assistance.
• Monitoring land use/cover changes over the years to quantify prominent changes in land use/cover in general and the extent of impervious area in particular.
Floods result from excess runoff, which could increase or decrease depending on various factors: rainfall intensity, snow melt, soil type, soil moisture conditions, land use/cover, etc. Runoff from rural and urban areas is generally a response of excess water after infiltration and evapotranspiration have occurred. Obviously, urban regions will have more impervious land where infiltration can’t occur. On the other hand, rural drainage areas will absorb water in the soil until it reaches saturation level, sending the rest to contribute to direct runoff. Soil erosion, too, is greatly controlled by vegetation. Dense vegetation provides vegetal retarder to overland flow. Hence, land use classes, as determined by remote sensing, have an implicit hydrological significance in terms of water yield, peak flows and soil erosion. Continuing deforestation leads to more sediment yield downstream, causing damages in flood plain agricultural fields. Because a sudden increase in river flows might also cause floods, the stakeholders here are the watershed management agencies and people living in the region, as well as insurance agencies that provide insurance against flood damages.

 
 
    Generally, flood planes and flood-prone areas can be identified on remotely sensed imagery with two approaches: flood mapping, using images of peak/post-flood (with water levels clearly visible), and flood forecasting, mainly based on cloud patterns. For mapping purposes, a pre-flood scene and a peak flood image would be compared to delineate the inundated area and assess damages in terms of properties and crops. One major hurdle in recording floods is the presence of clouds during a downpour, so Landsat and SPOT data would be useful only under cloud-free situations. SAR, which is onboard the European Space Agency’s ERS-2 and Canada’s RADARSAT satellites, can provide images during the day or night, despite any presence of haze, light rain, snow, clouds or smoke. Therefore, it’s the most suitable tool for flood inundation mapping and monitoring in humid, temperate environments. SAR imagery also can detect open water surfaces, near-surface moisture, soil moisture changes and the extent of wet snow packs.


An image taken following flood recession is useful for assessing damage to buildings and infrastructure. Similarly, post-flood imagery could be an effective tool to evaluate the effect of flooding on coastlines, forests and open space.

A Life-Saving Legacy
Although various satellites and sensors provide numerous possibilities for analyzing imagery data and enabling disaster prediction and mitigation, the search for effective preventive measures continues. Determining the impact of land use on natural disasters and developing the ability to predict them may be remote sensing’s most significant contributions to society during this century.

Author’s Note: I would like to gratefully acknowledge funding from the Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction to carry out this work.

 
     
 
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