By Slobodan P.
Simonovic, professor and research chair, Institute for Catastrophic Loss
Reduction, University of
Western Ontario (http://www.iclr.org).
Pressure on Earth’s resources from a population currently at 6
billion and projected to reach roughly 9 billion by 2050 has left
humans and their infrastructure increasingly vulnerable to natural
hazards. The resulting dynamic equilibrium between these forces
offers a major role for scientific and technological development.
Remote sensing and related geospatial technologies are among the
many tools available to disaster management professionals for
accurate and effective planning, disaster management and
post-disaster recovery.
The space technology and disaster mitigation communities work
together to develop efficient methods for disaster prevention,
preparedness and relief. Prevention is a long-term phenomenon, which
can best be studied with the help of satellites to monitor relevant
factors such as changing land use. Preparedness focuses on warnings
and forecasts of impending disasters, whether they’re “rapid onset”
disasters—the most frequent type—or those that develop slowly, such
as drought and famine. Relief occurs after (and sometimes during) an
emergency. Important aspects of satellite monitoring involve
assessing the damage incurred during a disaster, as well as helping
to identify escape routes and locations for temporary shelter.
Sensors and Applications
Although existing satellites weren’t designed solely to observe
natural hazards, the variety of spectral bands in today’s visible
near infrared (VNIR), shortwave infrared (SWIR), mid-infrared (MIR),
thermal infrared (TIR) and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) sensors
provides adequate spectral coverage and allows computer enhancement
of the data for this purpose. Repetitive or multitemporal coverage
allows scientists to study various dynamic phenomena whose changes
can be identified over time, including natural hazard events,
changing land use patterns, and hydrologic and geologic
characteristics.
In disaster management, the aim is to monitor the situation,
simulate the complex natural phenomenon as accurately as possible to
come up with better hazard predictions, suggest appropriate
contingency plans and prepare spatial databases. Remotely sensed
data’s inherent characteristics—spatial continuity, uniform accuracy
and precision, multitemporal coverage and complete coverage
regardless of site location—make satellite imagery invaluable for a
wide range of disaster management applications, including:
• Assessing the severity and impact of
damage due to flooding, earthquakes, oil spills and other disasters.
• Planning efficient escape routes from coastal areas during
hurricane season.
• Charting quickest routes for ambulances and other assistance to
reach victims.
• Locating places for shelter for victims or refugees.
• Calculating population density in disaster-prone areas.
• Identifying hardest-hit disaster areas to provide early warning of
potential disasters.
• Performing pre-disaster assessments to facilitate planning for
timely evacuation and recovery operations during a crisis.
• Monitoring reconstruction or rehabilitation after a major
disaster.
• Developing, maintaining or updating accurate base maps.
Different sensors can provide unique information about Earth’s
surface properties. For example, measurements of reflected solar
radiation give information on albedo—the fraction of light reflected
by a body or surface, thermal sensors measure surface temperature,
and microwave sensors measure the planet’s dielectric
properties—hence the moisture content of surface soil or snow. The
table below reviews the existing land-imaging satellites in
orbit. Sensors and their capabilities with reference to disaster
mitigation are discussed in the following sections: Earthquakes,
Volcanic Eruptions, Tsunamis, Landslides, Hurricanes, Forest Fires
and Floods.
U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) scientists
have operated seismographic stations throughout the world for more
than 35 years. For the last few years, in cooperation with the
Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology (IRIS), a
consortium of more than 90 universities, USGS has upgraded the
system into a state-of-the-art Global Seismographic Network (GSN).
The GSN is designed to obtain high-quality digital data that can be
readily accessed by users worldwide. For some stations, the data are
reported to orbiting satellites, and then to the Internet where
information can be viewed via the Web.
Generally, satellite imagery can be used to help identify faults
associated with earthquakes. As a result, land use and geological
maps can give vital pointers toward potential earthquake zones.
Satellite sensors that are active in the visible and near infrared
spectral band are useful for such studies. Although many satellite
systems collect the required data, Landsat imagery is the most
popular for this application because of the comprehensive historical
Landsat data archives and the imagery’s cost effectiveness.
Conventionally, aerial remote sensing (airborne radar) would be
considered an effective way to delineate unconsolidated deposits
sitting on fault zones upon which most of the destruction occurs, as
well as to identify areas where an earthquake can trigger
landslides. Now such work is being complemented with
one-meter-resolution satellite imagery available from commercial
companies such as DigitalGlobe, ORBIMAGE and Space Imaging. For
example, as shown in the images below, DigitalGlobe’s QuickBird
satellite revealed widespread damage to the historic city of Bam,
Iran, following a powerful earthquake on Dec. 26, 2003. The
earthquake killed more than 50,000 people and destroyed or severely
damaged 90 percent of the city’s buildings, including a
2,000-year-old citadel built primarily of mud brick. High-resolution
satellite imagery can detect the altered rooflines of buildings that
have fully collapsed, thereby assisting authorities with immediate
mitigation activities such as search-and-rescue efforts, emergency
relief and major infrastructure damage assessment.
There are more than 500 active volcanoes
around the globe, and about 100 of them erupt every year. Volcano
monitoring is important simply because an unexpected awakening can
imperil thousands of lives across a wide area. Remote sensing
techniques can play an important role by providing vital information
with limited fieldwork, thereby saving effort and money. TIR imagery
can capture volcanic heat if the spatial resolution is high enough.
Also, moderate-resolution panchromatic stereo-pair imagery, due to
its 3-D capabilities, helps users find evidence of hazardous
activities. An IR pattern of geothermal heat in the vicinity of a
volcano indicates thermal activity, which many inactive volcanoes
display. Many volcanoes thought to be extinct may have to be
reclassified if regular monitoring activities reveal any abnormally
high IR emissions from either the summit craters or the flanks.
Changes in thermal patterns can be obtained for a volcano only
through periodic high-resolution IR imagery, like that of QuickBird.
However, temperature and gas emission changes can be monitored with
a geostationary satellite at ideal locations identified on the
thermal imagery.
The TIR bands of the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR)
sensor—the primary sensor on National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA) polar-orbiting satellites—can detect volcanic
ash, as it has a strong signal difference between channel 4 and
channel 5. However, AVHRR’s spatial resolution may not be adequate
to detect the dynamic change in volcanic geothermal activity in some
situations.
Landsat, SPOT-4 and IRS 1D imagery are valuable for detecting
volcanic activity, because their SWIR band is particularly well
suited for locating fire hot spots, lava flows and intense volcanic
activity. Once alerted by early warning systems, specialists need to
monitor levels of volcanic activity continuously so timely
precautions can be taken. Imaging sensors can detect hot spots,
because they measure the energy emitted from surfaces at
temperatures of 220-520 degrees Celsius. Though vulcanologists rely
widely on Landsat imagery to obtain this kind of information, SPOT’s
resolution and radiometric sensitivity can detect a wider range of
temperatures, and its frequent revisit capability enables
operational monitoring of a region of interest.
Additionally, research has shown that water surface temperature and
area can be measured simultaneously by using all seven spectral
bands of Landsat’s Thematic Mapper (TM) sensor. Crater lakes on
active volcanoes act as heat and chemical traps, and are amenable to
space surveillance as shown by case studies on several volcanoes:
Ruapehu (New Zealand), Taal (Philippines), Kawah Ijen and Kelut
(Indonesia), Poas (Costa Rica), and Apoyeque and Jiloa (Nicaragua).
Also, TM-derived water surface spectral reflectance indicates high
concentrations of suspended chemical sediment in the most active
crater lakes. Other sensors that have been used to successfully
monitor crater lakes include the Advanced Spaceborne Thermal
Emission and Reflectance Radiometer (ASTER) sensor aboard NASA’s
Terra satellite, as well as the Enhanced Thematic Mapper (ETM) on
board Landsat 7.
Tsunamis are water waves, or seismic sea
waves, caused by large-scale sudden movements of the sea floor due
to earthquakes, landslides, volcanic eruptions or man-made
explosions. Increasing development along most coastlines poses a
corresponding increase in tsunami disaster risk. Tsunamis differ
from other earthquake hazards in that they can cause serious damage
thousands of kilometers from the causative faults. Once they are
generated, they are nearly imperceptible in mid-ocean, where their
surface height is less than a meter. They travel at incredible
speeds, as much as 900 kilometers/hour, and the distance between
wave crests can be as much as 500 kilometers. As the waves approach
shallow water, a tsunami’s speed decreases and the energy is
transformed into wave height, sometimes reaching as high as 25
meters, but the interval of time between successive waves remains
unchanged—usually between 20 and 40 minutes. When tsunamis near a
coastline, the sea recedes—often to levels much lower than low
tide—and then rises as a giant wave.
The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center provides warnings for Pacific
basin teletsunamis (tsunamis that can cause damage far away from
their source) to almost every country around the Pacific rim and to
most of the Pacific island states. As detailed in Earth Imaging
Journal’s March/April issue (see “Help from Above—Tsunami Imagery
Aids Relief Efforts,”
www.eijournal.com/tsunami.asp), satellite or
aerial photography—especially when combined with a good geographic
information system (GIS) database of an area—can provide critical
information for emergency managers, including damage to structures,
transportation and communication links, and other “life-line”
infrastructure components.
Hurricanes and typhoons are the most costly weather-related events, for
which the U.S. Federal Emergency Management Agency obligated more than
$7.78 billion for the 1990-1999 period. A total of 88 declarations were
issued for these storms, including a single-year record of 19 in 1999.
These large-scale low-pressure systems occur throughout the world over
zones referred to as “tropical cyclone basins” (www.oas.org/usde).
The determination of past hurricane paths for a region can be derived
from remotely sensed data from NOAA meteorological satellite sensors.
The Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch of the Tropical Prediction
Center (TPC) provides year-round products involving marine forecasts,
aviation forecasts and warnings, and surface analyses. The center also
provides satellite interpretation and satellite rainfall estimates for
the international community. The Technical Support Branch provides
support for satellite data processing.
One of the key lessons NASA learned during
Hurricane Andrew was that it is critical to select appropriate data and
put it together to make informed decisions. Due to the lengthy process
required to gather the data, it was suggested that communities not wait
until a disaster happens to do so. Imagery is an important aspect of a
community’s database. For plotting new data, AVHRR is the best sensor
with its 2,940 kilometer swath, twice-a-day coverage and appropriate
resolution. The red band is useful for defining daytime clouds and
vegetation, while the TIR band is useful for daytime and nighttime cloud
observations.
Satellite imagery is invaluable for mapping burned
areas. For example, the U.S. Forest Service provides application
development to improve quality and predictability of geospatial
information produced with remote sensing in forest inventory, change
detection and monitoring applications. Knowledge about burned areas can
help scientists better understand the structure and dynamics of the
vegetated landscape. Furthermore, there is global interest in monitoring
fire regimes. Despite technical problems due to its age, Landsat’s
Multispectral Scanner (MSS) sensor is particularly useful for fire
mapping.
In addition, high-resolution satellite imagery and accurate remote
sensing techniques provide a quantifiable data link for defensible
forest fire mitigation planning and action, as well as the tactical
wildfire planning needs of wildland/urban interface communities. Remote
sensing analysis classifies raw high-resolution imagery data into
thematic data to identify the species, age and density of trees and
various types of groundcover; then managers can use a GIS to analyze and
model the data and develop treatment strategies.
According to FEMA, floods are the second most
common and widespread of all natural disasters. Within the United States
an average of more than 225 people are killed and more than $3.5 billion
in property is damaged by heavy rain and flooding each year (http://www.fema.gov/library).
Scientists and researchers have been investing valuable hours and funds
to find more accurate and faster ways to predict and estimate flood
depth and extent. Satellite imagery can help in several ways:
• Providing detailed imagery for hazard assessment maps and various
types of hydrological models.
• Developing a larger scale view of the general flood situation within a
river catchment or coastal belt with the aim of identifying areas at
greatest risk and in the need of immediate assistance.
• Monitoring land use/cover changes over the years to quantify prominent
changes in land use/cover in general and the extent of impervious area
in particular.
Floods result from excess runoff, which could increase or decrease
depending on various factors: rainfall intensity, snow melt, soil type,
soil moisture conditions, land use/cover, etc. Runoff from rural and
urban areas is generally a response of excess water after infiltration
and evapotranspiration have occurred. Obviously, urban regions will have
more impervious land where infiltration can’t occur. On the other hand,
rural drainage areas will absorb water in the soil until it reaches
saturation level, sending the rest to contribute to direct runoff. Soil
erosion, too, is greatly controlled by vegetation. Dense vegetation
provides vegetal retarder to overland flow. Hence, land use classes, as
determined by remote sensing, have an implicit hydrological significance
in terms of water yield, peak flows and soil erosion. Continuing
deforestation leads to more sediment yield downstream, causing damages
in flood plain agricultural fields. Because a sudden increase in river
flows might also cause floods, the stakeholders here are the watershed
management agencies and people living in the region, as well as
insurance agencies that provide insurance against flood damages.
Generally, flood planes and flood-prone areas can be identified on
remotely sensed imagery with two approaches: flood mapping, using images
of peak/post-flood (with water levels clearly visible), and flood
forecasting, mainly based on cloud patterns. For mapping purposes, a
pre-flood scene and a peak flood image would be compared to delineate
the inundated area and assess damages in terms of properties and crops.
One major hurdle in recording floods is the presence of clouds during a
downpour, so Landsat and SPOT data would be useful only under cloud-free
situations. SAR, which is onboard the European Space Agency’s ERS-2 and
Canada’s RADARSAT satellites, can provide images during the day or
night, despite any presence of haze, light rain, snow, clouds or smoke.
Therefore, it’s the most suitable tool for flood inundation mapping and
monitoring in humid, temperate environments. SAR imagery also can detect
open water surfaces, near-surface moisture, soil moisture changes and
the extent of wet snow packs.
An image taken following flood recession is useful for assessing damage
to buildings and infrastructure. Similarly, post-flood imagery could be
an effective tool to evaluate the effect of flooding on coastlines,
forests and open space.
A Life-Saving Legacy
Although various satellites and sensors provide numerous possibilities
for analyzing imagery data and enabling disaster prediction and
mitigation, the search for effective preventive measures continues.
Determining the impact of land use on natural disasters and developing
the ability to predict them may be remote sensing’s most significant
contributions to society during this century.
Author’s Note: I would like to gratefully acknowledge funding
from the Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction to carry out this
work.